ODM supporters prefer Sifuna for 2027 presidential ticket, TIFA poll shows
Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna. Photo: Courtesy.
By Robert Mutasi
Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna is the preferred presidential candidate for a majority of Orange Democratic Movement supporters ahead of the 2027 general election, a new poll shows.
A survey by Trends and Insights for Africa found that 44% of ODM supporters would back Sifuna to be the party’s flagbearer.
President William Ruto was second with 20% support among ODM supporters, despite being the leader of the rival United Democratic Alliance party.
Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i came third with 9%, followed by Embakasi East MP Babu Owino and Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka, who tied at 4% each.
Former Chief Justice David Maraga had 2%, while former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua, who now leads the Democracy for the Citizens Party, had 1%.
The survey found that 3% of ODM supporters preferred other candidates and 13% were undecided.
The poll was conducted between June 13 and June 22, with 2,048 adults interviewed face-to-face in households across all 47 counties, TIFA said.
TIFA said the interviews targeted randomly selected Kenyan adults aged 18 and older.
The survey also measured presidential preferences among supporters of other parties.
Among UDA supporters, 84% said they would back Ruto for reelection in 2027, showing strong consolidation behind the president.
Musyoka was a distant second among UDA supporters with 3%, while Sifuna, Matiang’i and Gachagua each had 2%.
Among DCP supporters, Gachagua leads with 44% support, followed by Kalonzo with 19% and Matiang’i with 15%.
Jubilee Party supporters have largely rallied behind Matiang’i, with 73% naming him as their preferred candidate. All other contenders polled below 10% within Jubilee.
Wiper Patriotic Front showed the highest party loyalty in the survey. TIFA said 90% of Wiper supporters would back Musyoka for president in 2027.
TIFA said the results point to different levels of internal cohesion among political parties with about a year left to the election.
The research firm said its findings provide a snapshot of public opinion in June and noted that political events during or after the survey period could shift preferences.
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